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Nikola Vucevic

Nikola Vucevic Points
Player Prop - 12/14/2023

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls

Nikola Vucevic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Vucevic has attempted 17.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted overall this season.

Among all players in the league, Nikola Vucevic registers in the 91st percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 33.9 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.

The Bulls will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-most up-tempo pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Heat).

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

The Miami Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Vucevic has been called for 3.5 personal fouls per game this year, significantly more than his 2.0 fouls per game last year.

The Chicago Bulls have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

This year when they are playing at home, the other team has averaged 38.3% on 3-pointers (4th-best in the NBA) vs. the Heat, making this a positive matchup.

The matchup vs. Miami is a tough one; when the Miami Heat are on their home court, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting Cs this year (11.1).

The most sluggish tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Chicago Bulls.

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