Nikola Vucevic Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Nikola Vucevic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Vucevic

C · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Vucevic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Vucevic has attempted 5.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.
Nikola Vucevic has been on the court for 33.8 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
Nikola Vucevic will likely see a rise in output in all facets of the game on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Nikola Vucevic has made just 46.8% of his shots from the field this year, a significant dropoff from his 52.7 rate last year.
When it comes to offense, the Bulls's unimpressive 107.2 points per game with the home court advantage places 2nd-weakest in the NBA this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting Cs have tallied 8.4 field goal attempts per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, identifying this as a challenging matchup.
The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Bulls.
The Heat have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league away from their home city this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Bulls.

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