Nikola Vucevic Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2023

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Nikola Vucevic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Vucevic

C · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 5, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 8:43 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Vucevic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-102/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Vucevic has attempted 8.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 3.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Nikola Vucevic has tallied 32.7 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Chicago Bulls check in as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Pacers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Bulls.

Favors Under

Nikola Vucevic has committed 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.3 higher than he's committed overall this year at home.
The matchup vs. the Pacers is a difficult one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting Cs have tallied the 14th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (1.2).
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Away from their home court, the Pacers have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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