Nikola Vucevic Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2023

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Nikola Vucevic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Vucevic

C · Chicago Bulls

Assists

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat · Nov 18, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Vucevic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Vucevic has averaged 4.2 assists per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.1 more than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road.
Among all players in the league, Nikola Vucevic rates in the 89th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 33.9 minutes per game when playing away from home this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Chicago Bulls rank 3rdbest in in the league with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 7 games.
Nikola Vucevic will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally boosts player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Nikola Vucevic has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 2.2 fouls per game last year.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year.
The Chicago Bulls are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 5th-slowest tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).
The Miami Heat have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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