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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 3/15/2024

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+112/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -133 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -154.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jovic registers in the 87th percentile for 3-point efficiency with a great 40.3% rate this year.

The Heat are expected to see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons).

Nikola Jovic has made 97.5% of his foul shots over the last 11 games on the road, 43.1% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season without the home court advantage.

As a team, the Miami Heat have been among the best at drawing fouls of late: 5th-best in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage with 23.1 foul shot attempts per game.

Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 5.0 foul shots per game (6th-most in the league) against the Detroit Pistons, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Detroit Pistons is a hard one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 2nd-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.0).

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jovic will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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