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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 3/13/2024

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

When it comes to 3-point shots, the Miami Heat's terrific 38.8% rate of converted threes while playing at home comes in as the 4th-best in the league this year.

This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 44.8% on threes (5th-best in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a strong matchup.

Nikola Jovic has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 11 games at home, 35.0% higher than he's sunk overall this season at home.

Nikola Jovic will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increase player performance in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jovic has failed to make 2.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's missed from beyond the arc over the course of the year.

The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Miami Heat.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with just 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.

This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, struggling to draw fouls.

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