Nikola Jovic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2024

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Nikola Jovic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jovic

F · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 4, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 8:45 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jovic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+114/-146).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +146 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to shots from downtown, the Heat's exceptional 37.5% rate of converted threes with the home court advantage places 10th-highest in the NBA since the start of last season.
The matchup against Sacramento is a strong one for threes; when the Kings are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 7th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (44.0%).
The Kings have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should increase plays for the Heat.
Nikola Jovic figures to get a boost in effectiveness across the board due to enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Heat.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 5thworst in in the NBA with only 9.4 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

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