Nikola Jovic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2024

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Nikola Jovic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jovic

F · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat · Jan 21, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 10:53 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jovic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-108/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jovic has successfully made 39.5% of his three-pointers this year, ranking in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league.
In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the Heat's excellent 38.0% rate of sunk threes places 5th-highest in the NBA this year.
This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 8.6 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) against the Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 0.9 mark, Nikola Jovic's personal fouls per game have jumped this year to 2.2.
Over the last 25 games, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 4.1 3-point attempts per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Magic, designating this as a challenging matchup.
The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Orlando Magic).
The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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