Nikola Jovic Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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Nikola Jovic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jovic

F · Miami Heat

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 17, 2024 7:17 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jovic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jovic has totaled 3.6 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's totaled over the course of the season.
Nikola Jovic has averaged 25.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat.
This year, opposing squads have snagged 10.1 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Raptors (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The slowest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Miami Heat.
The Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jovic should suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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