Nikola Jokic Steals - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Steals

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 2:14 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-244/+172).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -244 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +172.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has averaged 1.3 steals per game this year at home, ranking him among the hottest players in the league by this metric in recent days: 91st percentile.
Nikola Jokic has tallied 33.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 88th percentile.
The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play road team in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks).
Nikola Jokic ought to see an increase in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic registers in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.6 fouls per game this year.
The 3rd-slowest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

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