Nikola Jokic Steals - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Steals

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 8, 2023 9:23 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+160/-210).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -205 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -210.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has tallied 1.2 steals per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- among the league's best by this metric.
Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 33.7 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
Nikola Jokic will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally improves player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (76th percentile).
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA as the visting team this year.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should decrease plays for the Denver Nuggets.