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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Steals
Player Prop - 6/4/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Nikola Jokic Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-210).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +180 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has totaled 1.2 steals per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this metric: 93rd percentile.

Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 40.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.9 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year.

Nikola Jokic will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to boosts player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game at home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing at home.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.

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