Nikola Jokic Steals - Player Prop Bet 5/5/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Steals

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · May 5, 2023

Updated May 5, 2023 4:36 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-150).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has averaged 2.0 steals per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road.
Nikola Jokic has tallied 38.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (87th percentile).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road.
The Suns have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should decrease plays for the Nuggets.
Nikola Jokic will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to worsens player production in all stat categories.

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