Nikola Jokic Steals - Player Prop Bet 4/23/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Steals

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 23, 2023

Updated Apr 23, 2023 4:36 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+164/-215).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +168 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +164.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has tallied 2.0 steals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.
Nikola Jokic has played 33.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 90th percentile.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for overall this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home.
The Timberwolves have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Nuggets.
Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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