Nikola Jokic Steals - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Steals

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 22, 2023

Updated Mar 22, 2023 9:16 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-235/+190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -235 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has averaged 1.1 steals per game this year on the road, ranking him among the NBA's hottest by this metric recently: 90th percentile.
Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 90th percentile.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (84th percentile).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Wizards have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Nuggets.
Nikola Jokic will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces stat production across the board.

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