Nikola Jokic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/16/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · May 16, 2024

Updated May 16, 2024 8:41 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has totaled 4.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.0 more than he's totaled overall this season on the road.
Nikola Jokic has played 39.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.7 higher than he's played over the course of the year.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 8th-best in the league while playing on the road with 11.2 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic measures in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 2.5 fouls per game this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.
Nikola Jokic stands to experience a decrease in performance in all stat categories considering being on the road in this matchup.