Nikola Jokic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 4, 2024

Updated Apr 5, 2024 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has averaged 9.5 defensive boards per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 100th percentile.
Nikola Jokic has played 34.1 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 5th-best in in the league with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic places in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game while on the road this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games when playing on the road.
The Nuggets are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from being pitted against the most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the LA Clippers).
Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen stat production in all facets of the game.

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