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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Rebounds
Player Prop - 2/29/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Nikola Jokic has totaled 9.4 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 100th percentile.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic lands in the 91st percentile for playing time, posting a massive 33.8 minutes per game this year.
  • The Nuggets rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Miami Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Nikola Jokic will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally boosts player performance in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Nikola Jokic has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed overall this season.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league this year.
  • The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.

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