Nikola Jokic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has totaled 9.1 defensive boards per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league in this category: 100th percentile.
Nikola Jokic has played 33.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Nuggets are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 3rdbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic slots into the 84th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.5 fouls per game on the road this year.
The most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.
Over the last 25 games when they are on the road, the other team has come down with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (lengthening possessions that can bring about additional opportunities for offense).
Nikola Jokic ought to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness across the board due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

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