Nikola Jokic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/14/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 14, 2024

Updated Jan 15, 2024 3:57 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-160/+124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has posted 9.0 defensive boards per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 99th percentile.
Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic places in the 88th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 33.2 minutes per game this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.
Nikola Jokic is expected to see a rise in performance for all stats as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic slots into the 85th percentile for personal fouls, averaging an enormous 2.6 fouls per game when playing at home this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets grade out 1stworst in in the league when playing at home with a mere 6.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
The Indiana Pacers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.1) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

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