Nikola Jokic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 10, 2024 8:45 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-175/+135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has totaled 9.1 defensive boards per game away from home this year, putting him in the 100th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this standard.
Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic lands in the 87th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 33.4 minutes per game this year.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase possessions for the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (85th percentile).
The slowest pace away team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.
Over the last 15 games, their opposition has snagged 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz (retaining possessions that can spark bonus opportunities for offense).
Nikola Jokic will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to decrease player production in all stat categories.

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