Nikola Jokic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 26, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 1:08 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has tallied an impressive 13.5 rebounds per game this season, significantly more than his 12.2 rebounds per game last season.
Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic registers in the 87th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 33.3 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games away from their home city, which ought to raise possessions for the Nuggets.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 10thbest in in the NBA while playing at home with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
This year when they are on the road, the other team has grabbed 7.6 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Spurs (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus chances for offense).

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.3 more than he's accumulated overall this season on the road.
The 4th-most sluggish tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

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