Nikola Jokic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/20/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · May 20, 2023

Updated May 21, 2023 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 39.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.1 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year.
The Lakers have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to increase plays for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has tallied just 9.4 defensive rebounds per game this year, quite a bit less than his 10.9 defensive rebounds per game last year.
Nikola Jokic has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (88th percentile).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games.
While playing at home, the Lakers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.6) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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