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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 11/2/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic slots into the 99th percentile for shots from the field hit, logging a monstrous 10.5 per game since the start of last season.

Nikola Jokic has tallied 35.6 minutes per game since the start of last season, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 96th percentile.

The Jazz have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should increase possessions for the Nuggets.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 6th-best in in the league with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 95th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, posting a whopping 6.1 free throws per game when playing at home since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the league since the start of last season has been the Nuggets.

The matchup against Walker Kessler is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when Kessler is away from his home court and guarding opposing starting Cs since the start of last season, they have finished with a lowly 0.3 three-point shots per game (4th percentile).

The Nuggets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA while playing at home this year.

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