Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 4/25/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 25, 2024

Updated Apr 26, 2024 2:43 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has converted 11.7 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.
Nikola Jokic has sunk 56.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 14.3% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 93rd percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 34.3 minutes per game while on the road this year.
The matchup against Anthony Davis is a strong one for three-point shots; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have finished with a whopping 0.9 3-pointers per game (100th percentile).
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.

Favors Under

In terms of shooting, the Denver Nuggets's lackluster 111.2 points per game while on the road rates 10th-lowest in the league this year.
The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Anthony Davis has been quite low this year (2.4 foul shot attempts per game: 7th percentile).
Nikola Jokic is expected to experience a decrease in performance for all stats due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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