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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 3/31/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has converted 11.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year with the home court advantage.

Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic ranks in the 95th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 34.5 minutes per game this year.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Nikola Jokic has converted 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Nikola Jokic should get a boost in output in all stat categories considering enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic lands in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game this year.

The number of points posted against Jarrett Allen has been very low (13.1 per game) when facing other starting Cs this year (17th percentile).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the league this year.

The Denver Nuggets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from facing the least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).

As a team, the Nuggets have been lousy at drawing fouls: 2nd-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 20.1 foul shots per game.

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