Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 19, 2024

Updated Mar 20, 2024 1:56 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic lands in the 99th percentile for shots hit, totaling a monstrous 10.2 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic ranks in the 92nd percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 34.0 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.
The number of treys attempted against Kyle Anderson has been quite high (3.0 per game) when on his home court and squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The Nuggets have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jokic has made 91.8% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 8.5% more than he's converted over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic registers in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.4 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league away from their home court this year.
The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.
The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Nuggets.
Nikola Jokic will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce stat production in all stat categories.

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