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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 1/31/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has made 70.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 9.8% higher than he's sunk in all games this year.

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 89th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 33.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.

This year, the other team has averaged 45.0% on field goals (weakest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, marking this as a difficult matchup.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 14thbest in in the league when playing on the road with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Nikola Jokic has made 6.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 86th percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game this year.

With respect to offense, the Denver Nuggets's subpar 107.0 points per game places 3rd-lowest in the league over the last 5 games.

The least up-tempo pace road offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from squaring off against the 7th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder).

This year, opposing clubs have grabbed 12.7 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (preserving possessions that can result in extra chances for offense).

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