Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 11, 2024 3:55 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has converted 78.4% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 19.0% higher than he's made in all games this season.
Nikola Jokic has converted 57.5% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 16.4% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic lands in the 87th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 33.4 minutes per game this year.
Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have averaged 44.3% on shots from the field (5th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Utah Jazz, making this a difficult matchup.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase possessions for the Denver Nuggets.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (85th percentile).
The Nuggets have been the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while on the road this year.
The matchup against John Collins is a challenging one for shots from downtown; when facing other starting Cs this year, they have finished with just 0.4 3-pointers per game (11th percentile).
The slowest pace away team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.
Over the last 15 games, their opposition has snagged 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz (retaining possessions that can spark bonus opportunities for offense).

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