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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 12/23/2023

Charlotte Hornets vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 98th percentile for shots from the field hit, averaging an enormous 10.3 per game this year.

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic rates in the 75th percentile for three-point performance with a a remarkable 39.0% rate this year.

Nikola Jokic has averaged 32.8 minutes per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

Over the last 10 games, the other team has totaled 31.5 3-point attempts per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Hornets, designating this as a tough matchup.

The number of points posted against Nick Richards has been remarkably high (18.3 per game) when he is at home and matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In regard to shooting, the Denver Nuggets's poor 111.1 points per game as the away team comes in as the 10th-lowest in the league this year.

The 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

The Nuggets are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Charlotte Hornets).

The Charlotte Hornets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.1) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have attempted 26.8 free throws per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Hornets, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

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