Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has attempted 18.7 field goals per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 16.1 mark last season.
In contrast to last year's 2.5 rate, Nikola Jokic's shot attempts from downtown have spiked this year to 4.6 per game.
The Nuggets check in as the 3rd-most efficient shooting team in the NBA as the visting team this year.
The Nuggets will likely get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the 6th-quickest pace visiting offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Magic).
When playing on the road, the Orlando Magic have allowed the least offensive boards per game (6.7) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.3 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season at home.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
This year, the opposing team's starting Cs have tallied 0.1 3-pointers per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, marking this as a difficult matchup.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league away from home this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (12th-lowest in the league) vs. the Magic, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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