Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 19, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 6:20 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 9.8 rate, Nikola Jokic's shots hit have risen this year to 11.5 per game.
In comparison to last year's 2.5 clip, Nikola Jokic's three-point attempts have surged this year to 5.0 per game.
Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 87th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 33.2 minutes per game playing at home this year.
With respect to shooting, the Nuggets's superb 50.5% field goal percentage measures as the strongest in the NBA this year.
This matchup is a challenging one for scoring; when the Cavaliers are away from home, the other team has put up the 6th-lowest FG% in the NBA against them this year (45.3%).

Favors Under

When it comes to offense, the Denver Nuggets's subpar 107.8 points per game rates 7th-worst in the NBA this year.
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting Cs have totaled 4.6 baskets per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, identifying this as a difficult matchup.
The 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from facing the 8th-slowest pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).
Over the last 5 games, the other team has snagged 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers (retaining possessions that can create additional opportunities for offense).

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