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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 11/4/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Chicago Bulls

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has converted 9.8 buckets per game while playing away from home since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league.

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic places in the 95th percentile for 3-point effectiveness when playing on the road with a a very good 40.8% rate since the start of last season.

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic slots into the 92nd percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 34.4 minutes per game while on his home court since the start of last season.

The Nuggets rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, their opposition has grabbed 9.7 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls (losing possessions that could otherwise generate further opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA on their home court since the start of last season as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.

The matchup against Chicago is a hard one for three-point shots; when the Chicago Bulls are the visiting team, the other team's starting Cs have put up the 13th-lowest three percentage in the league since the start of last season (26.8%).

The Nuggets have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA on the road this year.

The Chicago Bulls have played at the slowest pace in the league away from their home city this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.

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