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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 6/4/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has posted 32.1 points per game over the last 10 games, 6.6 more than he's posted overall this season.

Nikola Jokic has made 1.9 threes per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season.

Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 40.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.9 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

While playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to three-point attempts.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a challenging one; they have allowed the 12th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting Cs this year (11.9).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing at home.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.

The matchup against the Heat is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted just 2.4 foul shots per game this year (14th-least in the league).

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