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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 4/16/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has sunk 9.3 baskets per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Nikola Jokic has attempted 3.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home.

Nikola Jokic has tallied 33.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 90th percentile.

The matchup against Minnesota is a favorable one for three-point attempts; when the Timberwolves are the visiting team, opposing starting Cs have averaged the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (1.9).

The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Nuggets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been lousy at getting to the free throw line: 7th-worst in the NBA this year with a measly 22.4 foul shot attempts per game.

The matchup against the Timberwolves may be a tough one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a lowly 1.4 free throws per game over the last 15 games (13th-least in the league).

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