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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 3/22/2023

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has sunk 11.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 90th percentile.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup against Washington is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Wizards have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting Cs have posted the 24th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (39.0%).

Nikola Jokic has successfully made 90.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 7.7% more than he's made in all games this season while on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (84th percentile).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Wizards have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

While playing at home, the Wizards have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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