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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 3/18/2023

New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has averaged 34.4 points per game over the last 10 games, 7.1 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.

Nikola Jokic has successfully made 57.7% of his shots from the field away from home this year, putting him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The Denver Nuggets have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Playing at home, the Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's accumulated in all games this season.

The matchup vs. the Knicks is a difficult one for scoring; the opposing team's starting Cs have totaled the 13th-least field goals per game in the league this year (4.5).

The Knicks have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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