Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 2/9/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 9, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has sunk 9.4 shots made from the field per game this year, ranking in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league.
Nikola Jokic has tallied 33.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 89th percentile.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Wendell Carter Jr. is a favorable one for shots from the field; when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have sunk a colossal 5.3 shots made from the field per game (17th percentile).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

This matchup is a difficult one for shots from the field; when the Magic are playing at home, their opposition have posted the 6th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA against them this year (47.9%).
The Magic have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jokic will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to lowers player production across the board.

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