Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has made 10.8 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.
Nikola Jokic has sunk 42.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league.
Nikola Jokic has tallied 33.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 89th percentile.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a difficult one for scoring; the opposing team's starting SFs have posted the lowest FG% in the league this year (42.6%).
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Timberwolves is a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a lowly 3.3 free throws per game this year (9th-least in the league).

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