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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 1/9/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has attempted 18.1 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games, 2.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Nikola Jokic has sunk 1.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from three in all games this season.

Nikola Jokic has averaged 33.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The Nuggets have played at the fastest pace in the league this year, which should increase opportunities for the Lakers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (87th percentile).

On the road, the Lakers have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (which also reduces additional [OPPORTUNITIES_CHANCES] for scoring and assists).

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the league this year.

The matchup vs. the Lakers is a hard one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting PGs have put up the 6th-lowest three rate in the NBA since the start of last season (30.2%).

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