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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 2/12/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-167).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -167.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Nikola Jokic has converted 62.6% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 15.3% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year without the home court advantage.
  • Nikola Jokic has played 33.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
  • The number of 3-point shots attempted against Brook Lopez has been very high (2.1 per game) when guarding other starting Cs this year (90th percentile).
  • The Nuggets are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 3rdbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic slots into the 84th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.5 fouls per game on the road this year.
  • In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive team in the league away from home this year has been the Nuggets.
  • The most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.
  • Over the last 25 games when they are on the road, the other team has come down with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (lengthening possessions that can bring about additional opportunities for offense).
  • Nikola Jokic ought to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness across the board due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

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