Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 26, 2023 12:23 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-230).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +175 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic lands in the 87th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 33.5 minutes per game this year.
The Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are at home, opposing squads have come down with 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the league) vs. the Warriors (turning over possessions that could otherwise create additional opportunities for offense).
Nikola Jokic will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic measures in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a massive 2.6 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
In regard to threes, the Nuggets's subpar 11.7 made threes per game ranks 8th-worst in the league this year.
The rate of threes scored against Kevon Looney has been quite low (24.9%) when defending fellow starting Cs this year (18th percentile).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.

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