Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 9:22 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last season's 2.5 mark, Nikola Jokic's shot attempts from beyond the arc have jumped this season to 4.6 per game.
Nikola Jokic has averaged 32.2 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Pistons have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more plays for the Denver Nuggets.

Favors Under

Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting Cs have averaged 0.2 3-pointers per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons, labeling this as a tough matchup.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Detroit Pistons have given up the 7th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jokic stands to suffer a drop-off in production in all stat categories on account of playing away from hom in this matchup.

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