Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 16, 2023

Updated Apr 17, 2023 2:16 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-156/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -143 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -156.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has made 38.5% of his 3-point shots this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Nikola Jokic has attempted 3.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home.
Nikola Jokic has tallied 33.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 90th percentile.
The matchup against Minnesota is a favorable one for three-point attempts; when the Timberwolves are the visiting team, opposing starting Cs have averaged the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (1.9).
The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Nuggets.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as it relates to three-point attempts.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

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