Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 25, 2023

Updated Feb 25, 2023 7:56 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-130/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +126 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has tallied 32.1 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The matchup against Memphis is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when the Grizzlies are at home, the opposing team's starting Cs have averaged the 25th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (1.8).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Grizzlies have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Nuggets.
While at home, the Grizzlies have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has committed 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's committed in all games this year.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jokic will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces player production in all stat categories.