Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-156/+122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -156.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has made 47.2% of his three-pointers on his home court this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league.
Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 33.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year with the home court advantage.
The Cavaliers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (which can also provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jokic will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to improves player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (86th percentile).
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a tough one for 3-pointers; opposing squads have compiled the 9th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (36.3%).
The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point attempts.
The Nuggets have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league away from their home city this year, which should reduce plays for the Cavaliers.