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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 12/18/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has put up 9.5 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league in this category: 100th percentile.

Nikola Jokic has tallied 33.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 88th percentile.

The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play road team in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic ought to see an increase in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic registers in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.6 fouls per game this year.

The 3rd-slowest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

Over the last 25 games, opposing clubs have come down with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks (maintaining possessions that can spark bonus chances for offense).

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