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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 11/29/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has totaled a terrific 9.4 assists per game this year, a significant increase from his 10.6 assists per game last year.

Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 33.3 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The Nuggets rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

On the road, the Houston Rockets have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves player production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The 4th-most lethargic tempo away team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should reduce possessions for the Denver Nuggets.

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