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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 11/17/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic rates in the 88th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 32.5 minutes per game on his home court this year.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should lead to increased plays for the Denver Nuggets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has totaled just 8.4 assists per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 9.8 assists per game last season.

The 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets rank 3rdworst in in the league without the home court advantage with only 9.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

While playing at home, the Pelicans have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (16.5) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic is expected to experience a decrease in productivity across the board considering playing away from hom in this matchup.

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