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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 6/7/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has put up 11.7 assists per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 higher than he's put up over the course of the season.

Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 40.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.9 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.

The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 0.8 more than he's been called for over the course of the season on the road.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road.

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease possessions for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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